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Dear
Delegate,
Economic
uncertainty and financial sector weakness expose all central
banks to increased risks. These cannot be avoided. They can
however be identified, measured and managed. Increasingly,
central bankers realise that this job, of creating a coherent
framework for accepting, understanding and managing risk,
is at the very heart of what they do. But it is not straightforward.
This course is designed to highlight the problems and challenges
that central bankers face in managing risk, and examine how
some leading central banks have tackled them.
At the same time, central bankers face demands to improve
their performance. How can central banks achieve both increased
returns and improved risk management? That challenge is at
the centre of their work - and of this seminar/training course.
Case studies will examine how central banks can improve their
management of financial market risks. Key sessions will discuss
the most effective means of organising and coordinating effective
contingency plans to limit the consequences of operational
failure or disasters. But how can separate and seemingly diverse
risk considerations be brought together and managed within
a central bank?
An elite panel of experts drawn from a variety of disciplines
will lead discussions to enable delegates to compare their
central bank's techniques and policy frameworks against those
of leading institutions and the cutting edge of academic research.
Presenters will examine in detail how to identify, measure,
and manage the most important risks that are faced by today's
central bankers.
One particularly important risk will receive special attention.
This arises from the fact that historical volatility may be
a very poor guide to risks, especially when low measured volatility
is a reflection of a particular policy environment. At a time
when interest rates/inflation are historically low in many
countries, can central banks rely on this continuing? How
should they prepare their own balance sheet for an upturn
in the interest rate cycle?
Delegates benefit from a roundtable format that facilitates
informal and candid discussion of sensitive policy issues
with their peers and leading experts. Even experienced senior
central bankers need to compare their concepts of "best practice"
with those of their counterparts in other central banks and
official institutions. They need, occasionally, to step back
from day-to-day pressures and swap experiences and perspectives
with contemporaries. This training course/seminar aims to
meet all these needs.
The conference sponsor, Central Banking Publications Ltd,
is an independent organisation delivering a range of regular
publications, directories, research studies and electronic
media services for monetary authorities and financial supervisors
worldwide. This independent standpoint naturally encourages
free discussion and potentially allows a broader coverage
of issues than conferences organised by official institutions.
We are once again proud to present a distinguished panel of
speakers, with Charles Goodhart as the course adviser, and
we are also delighted to welcome Peter Nicholl, Governor of
the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as chairman for
the week.
Now in its fifth year, Central Banking Publication's annual
training course/seminar series has welcomed over 450 delegates
from 95 countries. We look forward to welcoming you to Cambridge
on August 31st.
Yours
sincerely,
William Clarke CBE PhD
Chairman, Central Banking Publications
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DEVELOPING
AN OVERALL FRAMEWORK FOR RISK MEASUREMENT AND MANAGEMENT
Chairman:
Peter Nicholl, Governor, Central Bank of Bosnia and
Herzegovina
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Risk
management at the Bank of England
Paul Chilcott
Head of Risk Analysis and Monitoring Division, Bank
of England
Paul
Chilcott will present the Bank of England's approach
to risk management. He will conceptualise the types
of risks to be confronted and explain who or what is
responsible for controlling these. What control processes
are used to manage risks and what are the methods by
which these are monitored? He will also introduce delegates
to "the risk matrix", one of the more innovative risk
management initiatives at the Bank of England.
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Managing
reputational risks and relations with governmental institutions
Peter
Bakstansky
Senior Vice-President, Federal Reserve Bank of New
York
Peter
Rodgers
Secretary of the Bank, Bank of England
A
central bank's most valuable asset is its reptation.
Presenting and explaining policy is essential for establishing
and maintaining credibility. A commitment to transparency
and accountability is a prerequisite for a modern independent
central bank, but can this on occasion conflict with
the need to enhance credibility? How can central banks
manage what can be termed reputational risk? The people
in charge of external communications in two of the world's
leading central banks discuss how their institutions
set about meeting these challenges.
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Regulating
the regulators: accountability and control for central
banks and supervisors
Charles
Goodhart
Professor of Banking and Finance, London School of Economics
Central
banks and regulatory agencies are under continuing pressure
to demonstrate to stakeholders that they are exercising
their powers in an efficient and effective manner; for
many this is a statutory requirement. However, the practical
and conceptual difficulties of measuring performance
in these fields are daunting. This workshop analyses
these critical issues and discusses how central banks
and regulatory agencies can develop an improved means
of demonstrating their effectiveness.
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A
framework for financial stability
Charles
Goodhart
Professor of Banking and Finance, London School of Economics
The
importance of financial stability has become a mantra
for central banks and regulators. Yet despite the development
and success of monetary policy frameworks, institutional
arrangements which safeguard financial stability are
less well understood. Leading academic and central banker
Charles Goodhart offers insights into how central banks
can approach the issues.
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:::Tuesday
2nd SEPTEMBER
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MEETING
NEW CHALLENGES FROM THE FINANCIAL MARKETS
Chairman:
Peter Nicholl, Governor, Central Bank of Bosnia and
Herzegovina
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Development
of investment portfolio management techniques in a central
bank
Etienne Lavigne
Head of Middle Office, National Bank of Belgium
To
operate in global financial markets central banks have
adopted reserve management techniques used by commercial
banks. Not all however are appropriate. The speaker,
Head of the Middle Office at the National Bank of Belgium,
demonstrates the suitability and adaptation of the latest
portfolio techniques to reserve management at a central
bank. In particular the session will explore development
of the benchmark allocation, the importance of active
portfolio management and the usefulness of performance
attribution.
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Taking
an active approach: reserve portfolio performance in
an era of low returns
Roberts L. Grava
Executive Board Member, Bank of Latvia
Central
banks are increasingly under pressure to increase the
return on their reserve portfolios, yet face historically
low returns on traditional assets. How can central bank
improve their performance? The speaker, Head of the
Market Operations Department at the Bank of Latvia,
shows how central banks can justify looking beyond traditional
asset classes in rethinking their reserve portfolios.
How can central banks use risk management tools to enable
performance - not just limit it?
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Risk
management in market operations
Isabelle Strauss-Kahn
Director, Market Operations Division, Banque de France
Central
banks must ensure stability and liquidity in domestic
money markets. Essential to fulfilling this role is
the appropriate choice of policy instruments, assets
and the management of credit risk. The speaker will
discuss the latest developments in the Eurosystem's
risk management techniques for market operations. This
session will also address the relationship between financial
independence and accountability and how this affects
a central bank's aim of ensuring financial stability.
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How
a central bank can maintain financial stability - an
overview
Bill Allen
Deputy Director, Bank of England
The
Bank of England's responsibility to maintain the stability
of the financial system as a whole is undertaken by
the Bank's Financial Stability Wing. Bill Allen discusses
what financial stability is, what the public sector
needs to do to sustain it, and what is the role of central
banks.
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:::Wednesday
3rd SEPTEMBER
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INTEGRATING
OPERATIONAL RISK INTO A CENTRAL BANK'S RISK STRATEGY
Chairman:
Peter Nicholl, Governor, Central Bank of Bosnia and
Herzegovina
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Establishing
a culture of operational risk governance
Jens Ulrich
Head of Risk Control, Bank for International Settlements
Essential
for tackling operational risk is the implementation
of an appropriate framework for managing and measuring
operational risk. The presenter will discuss the BIS's
own approach to operational risk management and measurement
for its operations. This incorporates operational risk
management at the business unit level, control self-assessment
managed by internal audit and quantitative operational
risk measurement by risk control.
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Quantitative
techniques for operational risk measurement
Professor Carol Alexander
Chair
in Risk Management, Reading University
Central
banks, both in their banking activities, but also as
supervisors, need to be aware of the latest technical
developments in modelling operational risk. The session
will explore how central banks can apply rigorous and
quantitative techniques to assessing, measuring and
managing operational risk.
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Creating
and implementing effective contingency plans
Roundtable discussion led by Peter
Nicholl
Governor, Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina
The
recent blackouts that affected the eastern United States
and Canada highlighted the need for central banks to
have effective contingency plans and efficient management
structures to deliver them. What sort of system is necessary
to maintain central bank services in order to preserve
confidence in local and international markets? Peter
Nicholl will lead a discussion on how central banks
can provide checks, safeguards and contingency facilities
as well as integrate operational risk considerations
into their risk management framework.
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:::Thursday
4th SEPTEMBER
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ORGANISING
THE CENTRAL BANK ON RISK MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES
Chairman:
Peter Nicholl, Governor, Central Bank of Bosnia and
Herzegovina
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The
role of the risk audit
Jeremy Foster
Partner, PricewaterhouseCoopers
This
session will examine the role of the auditor in the
risk management process. How can auditors determine
cost-effectiveness of the controls in place? The presentation
will address the key considerations for central bank
audit and, in the form of a case study, present the
approach a central bank can take to these challenges.
How can "best practices" and standards lead to the reinforcement
of the role of internal audit in central bank governance?
How can internal audit ensure quality in financial reporting?
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Central
bank accounting, financial reporting and risk management
Ian Goodwin
International Monetary Fund
John
Nugée
Head of Official Institutions Group, State Steet Global
Advisors and former Head of Reserve Management, Bank
of England
In
the wake of corporate accounting scandals in some of
the biggest and most widely respected companies, there
is a growing recognition around the world of the importance
of good governance and financial reporting. Indeed,
ensuring effective governance is a key component of
managing reputational risk.
Ian Goodwin looks at where central banks fit within
this trend, particularly in the area of the management
of foreign reserves and the requirements of the IMF's
safeguards assessment policy. John Nugée follows this
with an examination of some of the practical consequences
of applying accounting standards to reserve portfolios,
including examples where the result may not be entirely
as expected or desirable from a reserves management
point of view.
A general discussion will cover topics raised in the
presentations, as well as the role of capital and reserves
in absorbing residual risks that are not fully hedged
or transferred to ensure financial independence.
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How
good risk management adds value
George
Vojta
Chairman, Financial Services Forum
This
session assesses the overall impact of a central bank's
risk management framework. How, for instance, can better
risk management contribute to a country's creditworthiness
in financial markets? What are the benefits of good
governance and risk management? How can performance
be measured and enhanced?
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